As the Premier League title race intensifies, legendary pundit Paul Merson has provided his expert forecast for a pivotal weekend of top-flight action. All eyes are on the Emirates Stadium this Sunday, March 1, 2026, where league leaders Arsenal host city rivals Chelsea in a high-stakes encounter. Merson, a former midfield maestro for the Gunners, suggests that while the visitors possess significant attacking threats, their defensive inconsistencies could prove fatal against Mikel Arteta’s disciplined side. The clash is framed as a must-win for Arsenal, who currently hold a five-point lead at the summit and are seeking to maintain their unbeaten home record for the season.
Before the spotlight shifts to North London, several other critical matchups will shape the standings. Manchester City faces a tricky trip to Elland Road to take on a resilient Leeds United side that has become specialists in stalemates recently. Meanwhile, Liverpool is set to entertain West Ham at Anfield, and Manchester United will look to consolidate their top-four position when they welcome Crystal Palace to Old Trafford. Merson’s predictions reflect a weekend where the giants of the division will be pushed to their limits by stubborn opposition.
“Leeds United vs Manchester City – Prediction: Leeds 1-1 Manchester City.
“Manchester United vs Crystal Palace – Prediction: Manchester United 3-0 Crystal Palace.
“Arsenal vs Chelsea – Prediction: Arsenal 1-0 Chelsea.”
The prediction for the headline Sunday fixture emphasizes a cautious tactical battle rather than a high-scoring affair. Merson noted that Chelsea’s tendency to concede regularly—highlighted by their recent struggle against Burnley—makes a clean sheet unlikely against an Arsenal attack spearheaded by Eberechi Eze and Bukayo Saka. However, he expects the “Blues” to remain competitive throughout, suggesting that a single moment of quality might be the only difference between the two London rivals.
With Manchester City tipped to drop points in Yorkshire, Merson’s forecast presents a scenario where Arsenal could significantly widen the gap at the top of the table. Conversely, a victory for Manchester United would serve as a major statement of intent in the race for Champions League qualification. As the 2025/26 campaign enters its final third, these predictions underscore the razor-thin margins that currently define the most competitive league in the world.