The 2025 Africa Cup of Nations has reached a fever pitch as the competition enters the semi-final stage with only four powerhouse nations remaining in the hunt for continental glory. Morocco, Senegal, Nigeria, and Egypt have successfully navigated the knockout rounds to secure their spots in the final four.
According to the latest data from the PolyMarket supercomputer, the host nation currently holds the strongest statistical advantage to lift the trophy on home soil.
Football enthusiasts prepare for a high-stakes double-header this Wednesday, January 14, as the tournament determines its two finalists. The opening fixture features a heavyweight clash between Senegal and Egypt, a match that renews one of the continent’s most intense rivalries.
Later in the evening, the Super Eagles of Nigeria face their most daunting challenge yet as they battle the Moroccan hosts in front of a partisan crowd in Rabat.
PolyMarket’s predictive model currently assigns Morocco a 37% probability of emerging as champions, buoyed by their home-field advantage and consistent defensive form. Senegal, the 2021 winners, follow with a 28% chance of reclaiming their throne.
Despite an impressive unbeaten run in the group and quarter-final stages, the Super Eagles of Nigeria hold a 25% chance of securing their fourth African title. Meanwhile, seven-time champions Egypt enter the semi-finals as the statistical underdogs with a 13% chance of victory.
The Super Eagles aim to silence the skeptics and the algorithms by overcoming the Atlas Lions to reach their second consecutive AFCON final. Nigeria’s tactical discipline and offensive depth have made them a formidable opponent, but the supercomputer emphasizes Morocco’s familiarity with the local conditions as a deciding factor. Fans across the globe await these results, as the winners of Wednesday’s matches will move one step closer to the grand finale scheduled for January 18.