France captain Kylian Mbappé is currently viewed as the frontrunner for the 2026 Ballon d’Or following his outstanding performances at the ongoing World Cup.
The Paris forward is the tournament’s leading scorer, helping Les Bleus reach the quarter-finals with seven goals and two assists so far.
Data from Polymarket places Mbappé at a 26% likelihood of claiming the award.
England skipper Harry Kane follows closely with a 23% chance after scoring six goals, while Argentina’s Lionel Messi and France teammate Ousmane Dembélé are both rated at 11%.
Messi, an eight-time Ballon d’Or winner, entered the tournament with less than a 1% chance of winning this year’s prize.